Results/Party performance Results
ECI results
Analysis · votes into seats

What a vote was worth

Gujarat, 2024. 266 candidates from 48 parties contested 26 seats; 2 parties won at least one.

Parties contesting
48
2024 · 2 of them won a seat
Largest party
25seats
Bharatiya Janta Party · 62.78% of votes
Deposits lost
81.2%
216 of 266 candidates
Effective parties
2.0
By vote share · lower means more dominant
Candidates per seat
10.2
266 for 26 declared seats

[02]Vote share against seat share

2024 · bar is vote share, marker is seat share

First-past-the-post rarely pays out in proportion. The bar is the share of votes a party won; the marker is the share of seats it took. A marker to the right of its bar means the system paid the party more seats than its votes alone would buy.

Bharatiya Janta Party 62.78%25 seats · +33.37 pts
Indian National Congr… 31.79%1 seat · -27.94 pts
Aam Aadmi Party 2.74%0 seats · -2.74 pts
Independent 1.23%0 seats · -1.23 pts
Bahujan Samaj Party 0.77%0 seats · -0.77 pts

[03]Strike rate — candidates who won

2024 · parties fielding 5 or more
Bharatiya Janta Party 96.15%25/26
Indian National Congr… 4.35%1/23
Independent 0.0%0/118
Bahujan Samaj Party 0.0%0/24
Right To Recall Party 0.0%0/7

[04]Deposits lost

Candidates under a sixth of the valid vote · newest first
2024 81.2%216 of 266
2019 85.98%319 of 371
2014 84.43%282 of 334
2009 85.24%306 of 359
2004 67.9%110 of 162
1999 67.3%107 of 159
1998 58.27%81 of 139
1996 90.47%522 of 577
1991 87.38%367 of 420
1989 80.08%209 of 261

[05]How crowded the ballot got

Candidates per seat · newest first
2024 10.2266 candidates
2019 14.3371 candidates
2014 12.9334 candidates
2009 13.8359 candidates
2004 6.2162 candidates
1999 6.1159 candidates
1998 5.4139 candidates
1996 22.2577 candidates
1991 16.2420 candidates
1989 10.0261 candidates

[06]Independents

Candidates standing without a party · newest first
2024 1180 won
2019 1970 won
2014 1580 won
2009 1760 won
2004 650 won
1999 620 won
1998 300 won
1996 4140 won
1991 2580 won
1989 1610 won

[07]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the table above, not commentary

  1. Bharatiya Janta Party took 96.15% of the seats on 62.78% of the votes — a seat bonus of +33.37 pts.

    seat share 96.15 - vote share 62.78

  2. Indian National Congress went the other way: 31.79% of votes returned only 3.85% of seats.

    seat share 3.85 - vote share 31.79

  3. 81.2% of candidates lost their deposit in 2024 — 216 of 266 polled under a sixth of the valid vote.

    216/266 below the one-sixth threshold

  4. 118 independents stood and 0 won — a strike rate of 0.0%.

    0/118 independents

  5. The field has grown more concentrated since 1962: the effective number of parties moved from 2.8 to 2.0.

    Laakso-Taagepera 1/sum(share^2), 1962 vs 2024
An unhandled error has occurred. Reload