Results/Trends Results
ECI results
Analysis · over time

How elections changed

Punjab, 1952–2024. 20 general elections tracked.

Turnout
63.05%
↓ 2.84 pts from previous
Median margin
4.4%
↓ 4.1 pts from previous
Effective parties
5.0
↑ 1.17 from previous
NOTA
0.5%
↓ 0.63 pts from previous
Women elected
15.38%
↑ 7.69 pts from previous

[01]Turnout

Weighted votes ÷ electors, election by election
2024 63.05%13 seats
2019 65.89%13 seats
2014 70.61%13 seats
2009 69.75%13 seats
2004 61.59%13 seats
1999 56.11%13 seats
1998 60.07%13 seats
1996 62.25%13 seats
1992 22.9%13 seats
1991 23.96%13 seats
1989 62.67%13 seats
1985 64.57%13 seats
1984 67.36%13 seats
1980 62.65%13 seats
1977 70.14%13 seats
1971 59.9%13 seats
1967 71.12%13 seats
1962 65.41%22 seats
1957 78.01%17 seats
1952 74.31%15 seats

[02]How close the contests were

Median winning margin, election by election
2024 4.4%13 seats
2019 8.5%13 seats
2014 5.3%13 seats
2009 4.1%13 seats
2004 4.5%13 seats
1999 6.1%13 seats
1998 10.9%13 seats
1996 7.9%13 seats
1992 24.27%13 seats
1991 23.2%13 seats
1989 15.4%13 seats
1985 12.15%13 seats
1984 11.6%13 seats
1980 14.1%13 seats
1977 20.7%13 seats
1971 19.3%13 seats
1967 7.7%13 seats
1962 5.6%22 seats

[03]Ballot crowding

Candidates per seat over time
2024 25.2328 candidates
2019 21.4278 candidates
2014 19.5253 candidates
2009 16.8218 candidates
2004 10.9142 candidates
1999 9.2120 candidates
1998 7.9102 candidates
1996 19.9259 candidates
1992 6.281 candidates
1991 6.281 candidates
1989 17.5227 candidates
1985 5.774 candidates
1984 5.774 candidates
1980 11.3147 candidates
1977 6.179 candidates
1971 6.483 candidates
1967 5.875 candidates
1962 4.9107 candidates
1957 5.085 candidates
1952 6.7101 candidates

[04]Party fragmentation

Effective number of parties by vote share
2024 5.04 of 49 won seats
2019 3.84 of 54 won seats
2014 4.04 of 38 won seats
2009 3.03 of 32 won seats
2004 3.93 of 22 won seats
1999 4.15 of 21 won seats
1998 4.74 of 20 won seats
1996 4.43 of 21 won seats
1992 3.22 of 11 won seats
1991 3.22 of 11 won seats
1989 5.35 of 22 won seats
1985 3.12 of 7 won seats
1984 3.12 of 7 won seats
1980 2.92 of 11 won seats
1977 3.13 of 9 won seats
1971 3.23 of 11 won seats
1967 4.53 of 10 won seats
1962 4.35 of 10 won seats
1957 3.02 of 6 won seats
1952 4.12 of 11 won seats

[05]NOTA

None of the above, as a share of votes cast
2024 0.5%67,158 votes
2019 1.12%1,54,423 votes
2014 0.42%58,754 votes

[06]Deposits lost

Share of candidates polling under a sixth of valid votes
2024 88.11%289 of 328
2019 89.21%248 of 278
2014 86.56%219 of 253
2009 88.07%192 of 218
2004 78.87%112 of 142
1999 76.67%92 of 120
1998 73.53%75 of 102
1996 88.03%228 of 259
1992 65.43%53 of 81
1991 66.67%54 of 81
1989 86.34%196 of 227
1985 59.46%44 of 74
1984 59.46%44 of 74
1980 80.95%119 of 147
1977 68.35%54 of 79
1971 67.47%56 of 83
1967 58.67%44 of 75
1962 54.21%58 of 107
1957 49.41%42 of 85
1952 67.33%68 of 101

[07]Women elected

Share of winners who are women
2019 15.38%13 seats
2014 7.69%13 seats
2009 30.77%13 seats
2004 15.38%13 seats
1999 15.38%13 seats
1998 7.69%13 seats
1996 7.69%13 seats
1989 23.08%13 seats
1980 15.38%13 seats
1967 15.38%13 seats

[08]Incumbent re-election rate

Share of sitting members who won again
2019 44.44%4 of 9 re-elected
2014 37.5%3 of 8 re-elected
2009 50.0%4 of 8 re-elected
2004 33.33%3 of 9 re-elected
1999 25.0%3 of 12 re-elected
1998 62.5%5 of 8 re-elected
1996 33.33%3 of 9 re-elected
1992 50.0%2 of 4 re-elected
1989 25.0%2 of 8 re-elected
1985 80.0%4 of 5 re-elected
1980 0.0%0 of 5 re-elected
1977 0.0%0 of 8 re-elected
1971 83.33%5 of 6 re-elected
1967 100.0%4 of 4 re-elected

[09]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the series above, not commentary
  1. Turnout has fallen for three elections running: 70.61% (2014) → 65.89% (2019) → 63.05% (2024).

    three consecutive falls
  2. Ballots have grown much more crowded: 6.7 candidates a seat in 1952 against 25.2 in 2024.

    6.7 → 25.2 over 20 elections
  3. Women's share of elected members peaked at 30.77% in 2009; in 2019 it was 15.38%.

    peak 30.77% in 2009
  4. In 2019, 44.44% of sitting members who re-stood were re-elected — below the series average of 44.6%.

    44.44 vs avg 44.6 across 14 elections
  5. NOTA peaked at 1.12% in 2019 — 1,54,423 voters chose none of the above.

    highest NOTA share across 3 elections
  6. The highest deposit-loss rate was 89.21% in 2019: 248 of 278 candidates polled under a sixth of the valid vote.

    peak deposit losses in 2019
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